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Typical ugly mid-November weather is expected, and my Ohio vs. Toledo predictions expect the elements to impact tonight’s important conference clash.
Read on as I explain why my college football picks like the Under for Wednesday, November 20.
Kickoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET from Glass Bowl Stadium in Toledo, with the game airing on ESPN2.
I like Ohio to win this game. The weather will wreak havoc with the Toledo offense, and the Bobcats’ defense is the best in the conference against the rush.
The Bobcats love to pound the rock, and I expect them to do just that. Toledo has an above-average rushing defense, but Ohio will have enough success to win this game.
My best bet
Under 45.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
My analysis
The weather will be awful on Wednesday night. Rain is expected throughout the day, and high gusty winds and falling temperatures will replace the rain by kickoff.
That won’t make it very fun for either offense to throw the football, which is a pity for Toledo Rockets quarterback Tucker Gleason and the conference’s top-throwing offense.
The Rockets only have one rusher in the Top 15 in the MAC. They don’t run the football nearly as well as they throw it, and that’s a bad thing against the conference’s best-rushing defense.
Ohio isn’t just good against the rush in the conference. It ranks 18th in rushing yards allowed nationally and has surrendered 11 rushing TDs this season.
Turn that around, and the Bobcats are all about rushing the football. They average 201 rushing yards per game, with QB Parker Navarro and running back Anthony Tyus III leading the second-best rushing attack in the MAC with nearly 1,400 combined rushing yards and 16 rushing TDs.
However, the Bobcats will face a tough Toledo rushing defense. That group allows a paltry 130 rushing ypg and the …
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